Entrepreneurship

Fresh Powder

After a gondola ride, whether you ski or snowboard, you’re not getting far without the right equipment.

Let’s imagine you’ve made it to the top of a snow-covered mountain. The distant view is inspiring and there are endless ways to enjoy the ride back down. Similarly, there are endless ways a business can evolve.

Financial modeling is an important technique that helps us simulate different scenarios for a business.

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This contribution was written by Jeff Erickson. Jeff is an investor, advisor, and skier on the silicon slopes of Utah.

A financial model helps forecast the financial performance of a company. They are based on the company’s historical performance and assumptions about the future. This tool can be used to make better decisions when raising financial capital and to assess potential returns of a given venture.

Returning to our mountainous metaphor, think of financial models as your map of the snowy terrain. It provides an overview of the area, routes to explore, and dangers to avoid. Like a trail map, financial models use numbers to set the scene, then help us determine the speed and direction of our business. They also help identify potential risks and optimize how different types of resources are used.

A financial model is essentially a roadmap for the future, and it gives investors an understanding of how you plan to generate revenue and scale over time. A solid financial model demonstrates that you have done research into the market, understand potential risks and opportunities, and have thought through the key drivers for success. Your financial model helps investors see how you think about your business and whether you understand the levers that matter. It also gives them confidence when they see that you know how to strategically allocate the money they may invest and that you know how to manage cash flow.

Most investors speak in the language of finance. Terms like run rate, CAC, LTV, runway, and burn rate are common vernacular. Building your financial model helps you learn, decipher, and understand this language of finance, enabling you to more effectively work with investors.

A common mistake is thinking that it’s you and your financial model versus the world. Instead of falling in love with assumptions, work with potential investors by using the financial model to analyze various scenarios. When founders can cruise down the mountain with investors while using a financial model to explain different scenarios in real-time, partners will get more excited about taking the lift back up for another run.

Entrepreneurs need to be aware of the changing terrain to make the best decisions for their evolving business. Let’s avoid the trees and carve out a few steps that will land you in a position to know the numbers.

Define

Before building a financial model, it is important to define the company’s business model, revenue streams, and financial objectives. This information will determine how you structure assumptions for the projections to accurately reflect what could realistically happen with your business.

Gather

Once you define company goals, gather historical data relevant to creating accurate projections. This includes past sales, costs for running operations, generating revenue, customer acquisition, and any other financial data that may help tell the story of your business.

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Prevent that new business idea from floating toward someday by compiling relevant resources that brew confidence in getting others excited to join you.

Build

Using qualitative (industry trends) and quantitative (past results) data points, build realistic assumptions to drive your financial model. This can be done using spreadsheets, but dedicated software makes it easier. With a framework in place, begin with customer acquisition data (sales outreach, paid ads, referrals, etc.). Next, make assumptions around revenue streams by considering all the ways you can make money (product sales, services, advertising revenue, etc.). Continue by including resources related to building a team, then focus on any changes in operating expenses. Finally, consider any required expenses to scale your business and how to finance the venture long term.

Validate

Once initial assumptions are plugged into a financial model, it’s important to track the accuracy of your assumptions each month and to update the numbers based on actual data. With metrics consistently tracked over time, your financial model becomes more accurate and reliable. You will notice trends in customer acquisition, identify the most profitable revenue streams, and monitor your expense projections. Additionally, you will be able to run different scenarios using your financial model to help you confidently make better decisions in running your business.

As we add financial models into an investor pack, dynamic understanding is supported by an interactive tool to project progress. This shared awareness brews confidence and helps more people enjoy the ride in a shared direction.

By Ben McDougal, ago

Attention Traps

We’ve spent all month exploring early moves to evolve business ideas into reality. Using your time dedicated to no-code wireframing, actively listening to others, telling customer stories with a colorful business model canvas, and escorting execution with business plans, let’s translate emerging insight into snapshots of your business. The one pager, pitch deck, and investor memo are different types of attention traps entrepreneurs can use to connect with those who care.

One Pagers

The one pager is a punchy asset built to describe the most important elements of your business. Concise is nice, as the goal is to create immediate intrigue from everyone who receives it. Speaking of everyone, a one pager should be ready for anyone. This means you must find a balance between enough details to show substance and realistic potential, without giving away the secret sauce.

While you know a lot about your business, the goal is simple. Create enough curiosity to keep the conversation flowing. For more on how to sequentially guide people through the layers of understanding, scrub to minute 10:45 in this talk I shared at a 2022 raising capital seminar.

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Here’s my guest column on consistency in the Business Record!

As you consider what content to include and how to format so much goodness into such a tight document, here is the FliteBrite one pager from 2015 and there are many other sharp templates online. Once you have a one pager ready to share, let’s connect! I’d love to look it over and can provide feedback if you’d like, but can also feed momentum by sharing your new one pager with strategic investors.

Pitch Decks

The pitch deck is like a slide deck used in a verbal pitch, but with more information to help recipients (often investors) learn about your venture. Within 10-15 slides, present the story of your business with eye-catching visuals, data-driven details, and links to more supportive content. A concise pitch deck showcases your storytelling skills while entertaining an audience who is about to learn more about the market, problem, your solution, traction, moat-digging differentiators, the team, vision, and how to contact you.

Knowing this attention trap is most often needed by founders raising financial capital, even if it’s in a closing appendix, it’s good to include more data-driven details in a pitch deck. Like handy back slides during the Q&A portion of a pitch, clear financial projections, existing market research, how money will be spent, and customer discovery results are all good ways to prove you understand your business plan and how the numbers work.

That said, don’t numb readers. Avoid small font and word salads. Incorporate imagery that supports a captivating story. Translate your mission while making it clear how this venture will deliver serious returns. Like the one pager, pitch decks are not crafted to secure an investment. They are designed to fuel curiosity and more conversation.

Investor Memos

Commanding a dynamic investor memo keeps people informed with the ongoing progress of your company. Along with sections you include in a pitch deck, investor memos create space to highlight the evolving details of your fundraising campaign, key performance metrics (KPIs), data visualizations, recent milestones, multimedia, current needs of the team, and future goals for the company. Platforms like Carta, Build Memo, Visible, Paperstreet, and Notion make it easy to manage accurate, updated, and communicated investor memos. The quick-to-digest, but also real-time information is why investor memos are popular among well-articulated founders raising venture capital.

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If you can’t explain it simply, you don’t understand it well enough. -Albert Einstein

As we finish sipping on these three different types of attention traps, let’s commemorate how alternate versions of each document may help you share the most impactful details with the right audience. For example, a pitch deck for local angel investors may be different than a pitch deck for a global venture capital firm. Connecting everything can also add efficiency, but maintaining a well-organized data room is not for the faint of heart. As any company evolves, so will the need to update documents that tell its story.

By Ben McDougal, ago

Escorting Execution

After a few early moves, developing a business plan is a hearty exercise. Business plans are less pivotal than scholars may preach, but developing a business plan does force you to pick through the specifics of any business. The detailed planning can pave a path toward sustainability and help you articulate opportunities to potential co-founders, new hires, outsourced talent, investors, and early adopters.

The first version of a business plan does not need to be long, but it should include a handful of key elements:

    1. Executive Summary
    2. Company Description
    3. Market Analysis
    4. Products & Services
    5. Marketing & Sales
    6. Operations
    7. Financials
    8. Appendix

One size does not fit all, and earlier moves like canvasing and wireframing will lighten the load as you flesh out details. To determine how particularized your business plan needs to be, consider who will be reviewing this dynamic document. Learn more and explore different templates online, then craft something you’re proud of.

Even without an audience, creating a business plan is rarely a waste of time. They can also become a required asset when you’re raising financial capital. Situations where you’ll likely need a business plan include grant applications, bank loans, and pitch competitions. Entrepreneurial support organizations (ESOs) may request a business plan to warrant professional services as well.

As you build a business plan, use clarifying frameworks, concise content, and mark areas that may need to more frequent updates. This makes the document interesting, more digestible, and easier to maintain.

As you update this dynamic document, consider how your business plan supports other related resources that collectively paint the picture of your company. Sharp business plans integrate with a cool one-pager, slide decks that ignite verbal presentations, a pitch deck with similar content brought to life with enhanced visuals, and ongoing investor updates. This shapes a forwardable investor pack geared to keep your ideas from slipping toward someday.

By Ben McDougal, ago

Wireframing

After a holiday season full of creative conversations with family and friends, the New Year inspires an openness to what’s next. This leads many to consider building something new. To kickoff 2023, go beyond only being the idea machine. Let’s start building now.

We’ll begin with a common scenario – there’s a cool concept and maybe some industry insight, but the idea requires technology and you lack an ability to code. This often makes first-time founders feel like there’s nothing they can do without paying for development or immediately recruiting co-founders to help build the product. This locks the idea in limbo, when in fact, there are many methods to make purposeful progress without writing a line of code.

One easy way to start is to visualize the idea through a process called wireframing. Wireframing is an entrepreneurial exercise that only requires a pencil, paper, and time. This activity is thought-provoking and allows anyone to conceptualize the structure and flow of their idea. It helps identify each type of user and the user experience (“UX”) with no tech required.

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This twitterstorm connected 78+ tweets and highlights all of my weekly writings from 2022. I work toward this all year, so I hope you’ll enjoy clicking into each satisfying rabbit hole. Please be sure to RT and LIKE your favorites to connect with others as well!

Ready for action? Excellent! Use a wireframing template to draw everything on screens of the device(s) your product will be used on. For example, if it’s a mobile app, find a wireframing template that includes blank smartphone screens and space for notes (example) to describe each state and how everything connects within the user interface (“UI”). Wireframing is mostly used to outline technology-based products, but some thoughtful sketching helps jump start physical products as well. If you’re thinking about a physical product, test your drawing skills by highlighting how different elements collectively come together to form the final embodiment.

Along with clarifying concepts for yourself, coordinated wireframing makes it easier for others to follow how everything fits together. The time spent here will save you money if you outsource development, as a solid roadmap helps lone wolves avoid costly detours. Wireframing helps you hire a team that can build what you want without pushing the idea into a more ordinary direction that works best for them. If you decide to seek co-founders who can effectively help build ideas into reality, (which would be my recommendation, but will take more time), wireframing is one more way to show you’re serious.

As you plug into the startup community, which is critical, this wireframing activity helps support the early versions of a pitch that tells a more impactful story as you breathe fresh air into the idea with feedback from others. While product design and the business to support it will need to evolve, earnest wireframing will help idea machines avoid melting momentum.

By Ben McDougal, ago

Not to Lose

I’ve been around soccer the majority of my life.

Whether it was traveling with the college team my dad coached as a kid, playing club soccer at an early age, focusing on the sport in high school, playing all through college, or being the product of my first entrepreneurial venture, soccer was a part of my identity for over 20 years. This team sport helped me push to be my best, but the sense of belonging is what made it special.

As I’ve enjoyed the World Cup in Qatar, I’m reminded how easy it can be to get ahead in a match, before slipping into a dangerous trap. Instead of staying sharp by maintaining the offensive pressure that earned an early lead, it’s tempting to start playing not to lose.

In soccer, this often means a team sinks back into an overly defensive formation. Less variety invites frantic desperation and the added pressure often leads to an equalizing goal being scored by the opposing squad. Even if the need for another goal shifts your team back into a more balanced attack, the momentum has shifted.

When applied to business, getting ahead and then playing not to lose can be seen all over the map. For instance, snagging a few early adopters, then assuming customer discovery is over. Hiring new talent, then hoping everyone can work together without initiative. Launching a new product with existing customers, then not supporting them through the chasm of change. Securing product-market fit, then avoiding innovation due to a misguided sense of risk. Finding generous mentors, then forgetting to nurture relationships. Those are just a few, but many leaders are lulled into this trap that’s defined by a sense of scarcity.

Tactics to stay ahead differ based on situational factors, but when in doubt, trust that uncertainty is certain. Be strategic to avoid recklessness, then stay on the offensive by leaning into the pain. As you find fresh ways to serve customers, continue celebrating milestones and stay ahead with initiative to keep building beyond the fear of losing.

By Ben McDougal, ago